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Red281
4726111.8
4495144.2
6831151.6
Blue361
3826136.2
3218145.4
3711166.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244365100200300400500281361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.61.1
147.2148.3
Auto18.7
Teleop119.5
End15.2
blue by 15.1
166.72.6
156.8159.3
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
144.20.4
143.4143.0
Auto19.7
Teleop109.6
End17.2
blue by 1.1
145.42.6
139.5142.1
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
Third
4726
#26
111.80.3
110.2110.5
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End8.8
blue by 24.4
3826
#11
136.20.3
134.4134.7
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed