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Red158
6076118.3
5920126.1
358698.0
Blue345
2522143.3
5468147.0
3693108.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255324100200300400500158345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5920
#12
126.11.8
123.1124.9
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
blue by 20.9
5468
#16
147.00.2
147.3147.5
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
Second
6076
#21
118.31.3
117.0118.3
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
blue by 25.1
2522
#10
143.31.9
147.3145.5
Auto20.3
Teleop110.2
End9.7
Third
3586
#31
98.00.9
97.498.3
Auto12.1
Teleop76.1
End9.6
blue by 10.8
3693
#25
108.80.3
108.9109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop83.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed