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Red295
3575113.2
3220124.3
3588126.1
Blue255
612985.1
2926102.2
1318190.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503080100200400500600295255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3588
#15
126.10.1
125.2125.2
Auto14.4
Teleop95.7
End14.7
blue by 64.2
190.32.4
184.5186.9
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
Second
3220
#18
124.31.4
121.2122.6
Auto14.7
Teleop92.6
End18.9
red by 22.1
2926
#27
102.20.5
101.4101.9
Auto13.0
Teleop81.3
End9.2
Third
3575
#14
113.22.1
116.3114.2
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
red by 28.1
6129
#29
85.11.5
87.786.2
Auto11.2
Teleop72.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed