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Red250
4061155.6
371292.1
2148118.8
Blue164
2915117.4
3223129.3
2944107.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942530100200400500600250164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.62.1
149.3151.5
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
red by 26.3
3223
#19
129.31.0
128.1129.1
Auto17.0
Teleop98.0
End14.2
Second
118.82.2
113.8116.0
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
red by 1.4
2915
#24
117.40.7
118.3119.0
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
Third
3712
#28
92.10.1
92.091.9
Auto12.3
Teleop72.5
End9.0
blue by 15.2
2944
#20
107.30.0
107.9107.9
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed