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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Week 0
Red398
78124.7
5813135.7
5459109.7
Blue217
4909126.6
3467127.7
1519128.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462810100200400500600398217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.70.5
126.5127.0
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
red by 7.5
1519
#22
128.20.6
129.6129.0
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End10.1
Second
78
#11
124.70.1
118.0118.1
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
blue by 3.0
127.70.3
126.9127.1
Auto14.9
Teleop98.5
End10.7
Third
5459
#20
109.70.6
100.4101.0
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6
blue by 16.9
4909
#16
126.61.2
123.1124.4
Auto13.9
Teleop100.0
End11.0