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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Week 0
Red251
78124.7
5813135.7
5459109.7
Blue313
4909126.6
3467127.7
1519128.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692730100200300400500600251313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135.71.0
127.0128.0
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
red by 7.5
1519
#22
128.20.5
129.0128.5
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End10.1
Second
78
#11
124.70.6
118.1118.7
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
blue by 3.0
127.70.2
127.1127.4
Auto14.9
Teleop98.5
End10.7
Third
5459
#20
109.71.0
101.0102.0
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6
blue by 16.9
4909
#16
126.61.1
124.4125.5
Auto13.9
Teleop100.0
End11.0