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Qual 132018 Week 0
Red217
5459109.7
4909126.6
1519128.2
Blue303
3467127.7
78124.7
125125.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372740100200400500600217303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#22Sur
128.23.6
133.3→129.6
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End10.1
red by 0.5
3467
#7
127.72.4
124.4→126.9
Auto14.9
Teleop98.5
End10.7
Second
4909
#16
126.64.6
118.6→123.1
Auto13.9
Teleop100.0
End11.0
red by 1.6
125
#25Sur
125.03.5
130.6→127.1
Auto16.9
Teleop97.2
End5.2
Third
5459
#20
109.71.7
98.7→100.4
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6
blue by 15.0
78
#11Sur
124.71.7
116.2→118.0
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed