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Qual 122018 Week 0
Red60
501115.1
3236108.5
1247109.7
Blue194
509110.6
1721113.3
2084121.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27124504006008001,0001,2001,4001,60060194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#14
115.12.3
112.9→115.1
Auto13.1
Teleop88.1
End12.2
blue by 6.1
2084
#5
121.25.1
112.1→117.1
Auto14.2
Teleop92.9
End14.6
Second
1247
#9
109.77.9
98.5→106.4
Auto12.2
Teleop88.5
End6.9
blue by 3.6
1721
#15
113.32.5
106.7→109.2
Auto14.3
Teleop87.5
End11.6
Third
3236
#17
108.53.7
103.4→107.1
Auto13.6
Teleop86.5
End7.0
blue by 2.1
509
#8
110.65.9
101.9→107.8
Auto12.8
Teleop88.2
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed