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Red253
78124.7
319134.6
1153123.6
Blue111
125125.0
238125.6
1729108.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253263150200300350400253111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
134.65.2
123.0128.2
Auto15.5
Teleop103.7
End15.5
red by 9.0
238
#19
125.65.7
116.2121.9
Auto15.7
Teleop100.4
End6.6
Second
78
#11
124.70.3
115.9116.2
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
blue by 0.3
125
#25
125.01.9
132.5130.6
Auto16.9
Teleop97.2
End5.2
Third
123.62.6
116.6119.3
Auto15.0
Teleop98.2
End8.4
red by 15.7
1729
#10
108.04.3
103.3107.6
Auto11.5
Teleop86.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed