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Qual 102018 Week 0
Red382
811113.5
4905119.3
5687143.8
Blue78
6153103.6
58119.3
2342119.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27125604006008001,0001,2001,40038278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#1
143.83.9
127.5→131.5
Auto15.2
Teleop111.9
End17.1
red by 24.0
2342
#18
119.72.0
117.8→119.7
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.2
Second
4905
#13
119.30.8
114.6→115.4
Auto14.1
Teleop89.7
End19.1
Level
58
#23
119.31.7
119.0→120.7
Auto15.2
Teleop94.6
End7.2
Third
811
#12
113.54.8
104.8→109.5
Auto12.8
Teleop86.8
End19.3
red by 10.0
6153
#24
103.63.1
100.8→103.8
Auto13.0
Teleop83.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed