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Qual 92018 Week 0
Red143
1721113.3
1519128.2
332399.6
Blue244
78124.7
5813135.7
7314100.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252256160180200220240280300143244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#22
128.22.4
135.6→133.3
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End10.1
blue by 7.5
5813
#3
135.73.2
123.3→126.5
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
Second
1721
#15
113.36.9
99.8→106.7
Auto14.3
Teleop87.5
End11.6
blue by 11.4
78
#11
124.71.5
114.5→115.9
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
Third
3323
#21
99.64.4
93.1→97.5
Auto11.9
Teleop82.7
End1.7
blue by 1.1
7314
#6
100.87.5
86.6→94.1
Auto11.5
Teleop80.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed