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Red156
5687143.8
1153123.6
5459109.7
Blue66
332399.6
501115.1
811113.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316268010020040050060070015666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.812.1
110.5122.7
Auto15.2
Teleop111.9
End17.1
red by 28.7
501
#14
115.114.1
92.2106.3
Auto13.1
Teleop88.1
End12.2
Second
123.613.5
97.3110.8
Auto15.0
Teleop98.2
End8.4
red by 10.1
811
#12
113.515.1
82.397.4
Auto12.8
Teleop86.8
End19.3
Third
5459
#20
109.715.9
75.491.3
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6
red by 10.1
3323
#21
99.616.8
67.884.6
Auto11.9
Teleop82.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed