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Red182
238125.6
6153103.6
4909126.6
Blue210
5813135.7
2342119.7
3236108.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299301200250350182210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#16
126.613.3
99.4112.7
Auto13.9
Teleop100.0
End11.0
blue by 9.0
135.712.8
103.9116.7
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
Second
238
#19
125.613.6
96.5110.1
Auto15.7
Teleop100.4
End6.6
red by 5.8
2342
#18
119.713.5
97.1110.7
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.2
Third
6153
#24
103.615.7
77.793.3
Auto13.0
Teleop83.9
End3.1
blue by 4.9
3236
#17
108.515.4
79.795.1
Auto13.6
Teleop86.5
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed