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Red128
2342119.7
3467127.7
2084121.2
Blue219
1153123.6
332399.6
5813135.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082490100200400500600700800128219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127.77.9
116.6124.4
Auto14.9
Teleop98.5
End10.7
blue by 8.0
135.76.6
116.7123.3
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
Second
121.214.2
91.2105.4
Auto14.2
Teleop92.9
End14.6
blue by 2.4
123.65.8
110.8116.6
Auto15.0
Teleop98.2
End8.4
Third
2342
#18
119.77.1
110.7117.8
Auto14.6
Teleop92.4
End7.2
red by 20.1
3323
#21
99.68.5
84.693.1
Auto11.9
Teleop82.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed