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Red167
3236108.5
125125.0
6153103.6
Blue224
1519128.2
1729108.0
501115.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2562870200400600800167224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
125.00.1
132.6132.5
Auto16.9
Teleop97.2
End5.2
blue by 3.2
1519
#22
128.20.3
135.9135.6
Auto15.5
Teleop99.5
End10.1
Second
3236
#17
108.58.3
95.1103.4
Auto13.6
Teleop86.5
End7.0
blue by 6.6
501
#14
115.16.6
106.3112.9
Auto13.1
Teleop88.1
End12.2
Third
6153
#24
103.67.4
93.3100.8
Auto13.0
Teleop83.9
End3.1
blue by 4.4
1729
#10
108.09.7
93.6103.3
Auto11.5
Teleop86.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed