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Red297
7314100.8
1247109.7
238125.6
Blue179
58119.3
5459109.7
4905119.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22528904006008001,000297179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#19
125.66.1
110.1116.2
Auto15.7
Teleop100.4
End6.6
red by 6.2
58
#23
119.37.6
111.4119.0
Auto15.2
Teleop94.6
End7.2
Second
109.79.4
89.198.5
Auto12.2
Teleop88.5
End6.9
blue by 9.6
4905
#13
119.36.2
108.4114.6
Auto14.1
Teleop89.7
End19.1
Third
100.88.9
77.786.6
Auto11.5
Teleop80.7
End8.3
blue by 9.0
5459
#20
109.77.4
91.398.7
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed