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Red389
1756187.9
1986194.7
6630146.9
Blue450
2826161.5
1736178.7
2830146.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406327200500600700800389450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.70.5
194.3194.7
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
red by 16.0
1736
#11
178.70.1
177.3177.4
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
Second
1756
#13
187.90.0
187.9187.9
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
red by 26.4
2826
#14
161.50.1
160.6160.6
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
Third
6630
#16
146.90.4
146.6146.9
Auto19.6
Teleop107.3
End24.0
red by 0.2
2830
#29
146.70.2
144.7145.0
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1