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Semifinal 1-22018 Seven Rivers Regional
Red357
2826161.5
1736178.7
2830146.7
Blue408
2194169.5
930160.2
5903146.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions358349100200300400500600700357408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#11
178.70.2
177.6→177.8
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
red by 9.2
2194
#9
169.50.2
168.9→169.2
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
Second
2826
#14
161.50.2
160.7→160.9
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 1.4
930
#4
160.20.6
159.0→159.6
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
Third
2830
#29
146.70.3
145.2→145.6
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
red by 0.2
5903
#24
146.60.2
146.1→146.3
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4