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Red248
7021176.5
4531154.1
537107.3
Blue413
4522184.7
3100154.5
6424170.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2804190100200500600700248413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.6
172.7173.3
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
blue by 8.2
4522
#15
184.70.3
184.0184.3
Auto22.1
Teleop131.4
End32.5
Second
154.10.9
148.8149.7
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
blue by 16.4
6424
#28
170.50.3
169.7170.1
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
Third
537
#52
107.30.0
106.7106.7
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
blue by 47.2
3100
#10
154.50.3
153.9154.1
Auto20.9
Teleop116.4
End20.0