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Red241
7021176.5
4531154.1
537107.3
Blue431
4655171.6
6237144.5
2169137.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3223580100200400500600700800241431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.6
175.9176.5
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
red by 4.9
171.60.5
169.7170.3
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
154.10.8
153.3154.1
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
red by 9.6
144.50.6
142.3142.9
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
Third
537
#52
107.30.2
107.2107.3
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
blue by 30.6
2169
#37
137.90.2
137.1137.3
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7