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Red273
7021176.5
4531154.1
537107.3
Blue382
4655171.6
6237144.5
2169137.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3273550200400600800273382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.50.7
175.2175.9
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
red by 4.9
171.60.6
169.2169.7
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
154.10.9
152.3153.3
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
red by 9.6
144.50.7
141.6142.3
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
Third
537
#52
107.30.2
106.9107.2
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
blue by 30.6
2169
#37
137.90.2
136.8137.1
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7