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Qual 112018 Seven Rivers Regional
Red284
4624133.2
2194169.5
4762115.5
Blue398
3928166.6
1306156.1
6913107.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298315200250350400450284398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#9
169.50.2
158.5→158.3
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
red by 2.9
3928
#35
166.61.8
163.6→165.3
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
Second
4624
#39
133.20.1
139.4→139.3
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
blue by 22.9
1306
#12
156.11.3
138.6→139.9
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
Third
4762
#47
115.511.1
88.5→99.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.6
red by 7.9
6913
#34
107.612.3
77.7→90.1
Auto13.7
Teleop83.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed