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Red446
2498117.0
2830146.7
1756187.9
Blue82
6613129.7
6732106.8
2169137.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32029710020040050060044682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#13
187.90.2
180.4180.6
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
red by 50.0
2169
#37
137.90.7
139.8140.5
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7
Second
2830
#29
146.70.9
134.4135.3
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
red by 17.1
6613
#18
129.72.1
137.4135.4
Auto17.0
Teleop100.1
End10.2
Third
2498
#21
117.03.3
117.8114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop83.0
End21.6
red by 10.2
6732
#51
106.811.6
87.599.2
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed