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Red422
1986194.7
2977163.3
2143141.9
Blue188
5903146.6
5148133.9
1736178.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363313200400500600422188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.71.7
167.8169.4
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
red by 16.0
1736
#11
178.71.6
168.7170.3
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
Second
2977
#20
163.30.9
157.5158.4
Auto18.9
Teleop120.7
End19.9
red by 16.8
5903
#24
146.61.4
141.5142.9
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
Third
141.911.0
93.7104.7
Auto19.0
Teleop103.4
End19.5
red by 8.0
5148
#31
133.90.3
129.8130.1
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed