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Qual 162018 Seven Rivers Regional
Red470
167174.8
3381127.6
1775137.8
Blue272
5464145.5
6424170.5
4247121.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311339100200400500600470272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#3
174.83.3
152.2→155.5
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
red by 4.2
6424
#28
170.50.9
162.0→162.8
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
Second
1775
#27
137.80.9
133.8→133.0
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.1
blue by 7.7
5464
#22
145.51.2
139.1→140.3
Auto14.2
Teleop103.4
End29.7
Third
3381
#36
127.60.8
127.7→126.9
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
red by 6.3
4247
#38
121.30.3
127.0→126.6
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed