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Red209
2506112.4
5019102.8
5914131.4
Blue326
3090108.9
4655171.6
2077118.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248338100200300400500600209326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5914
#17
131.40.9
119.6118.7
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
blue by 40.2
171.60.2
155.5155.3
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
2506
#41
112.40.8
114.4113.7
Auto16.1
Teleop83.7
End11.7
blue by 6.0
2077
#42
118.41.7
126.7125.0
Auto17.2
Teleop82.9
End14.9
Third
5019
#50
102.812.7
80.693.4
Auto15.2
Teleop75.0
End12.5
blue by 6.2
3090
#43
108.97.8
91.198.9
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed