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Red160
537107.3
4762115.5
6732106.8
Blue469
5914131.4
5903146.6
4655171.6
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2173750100300400500160469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4762
#47
115.52.4
107.2109.7
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.6
blue by 56.1
171.60.6
155.4156.0
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
537
#52
107.30.2
108.7108.5
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
blue by 39.2
5903
#24
146.60.4
142.8143.2
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
Third
6732
#51
106.83.4
102.5105.8
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
blue by 24.6
5914
#17
131.40.8
117.6116.8
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed