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Red125
4624133.2
6166108.0
6913107.6
Blue444
6424170.5
2977163.3
6630146.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603660100200300400500125444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#39
133.20.1
139.3139.2
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
blue by 37.3
6424
#28
170.50.2
163.4163.6
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
Second
6166
#53
108.01.7
110.1111.8
Auto17.0
Teleop85.3
End3.9
blue by 55.3
2977
#20
163.31.9
160.2162.0
Auto18.9
Teleop120.7
End19.9
Third
6913
#34
107.66.7
100.9107.6
Auto13.7
Teleop83.1
End8.8
blue by 39.3
6630
#16
146.90.2
136.6136.7
Auto19.6
Teleop107.3
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed