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Red277
3381127.6
2506112.4
3928166.6
Blue324
2530106.8
4531154.1
6237144.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348269100200300400500277324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#35
166.62.5
167.9170.4
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
red by 12.5
154.10.9
137.4138.2
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
Second
3381
#36
127.60.2
127.1127.3
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
blue by 16.9
144.50.4
132.3131.9
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
Third
2506
#41
112.40.2
112.7112.5
Auto16.1
Teleop83.7
End11.7
red by 5.6
2530
#33
106.80.3
103.2103.5
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed