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Red424
1306156.1
2826161.5
5148133.9
Blue149
3055126.2
3090108.9
5003121.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3722470100200300500600424149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#14
161.51.2
159.3158.1
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 35.3
3055
#19
126.21.4
121.0122.3
Auto14.3
Teleop91.7
End21.9
Second
1306
#12
156.11.5
141.8143.3
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
red by 35.2
5003
#44
121.07.1
108.1115.1
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
Third
5148
#31
133.90.1
129.5129.6
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
red by 25.0
3090
#43
108.95.5
104.9110.4
Auto15.8
Teleop83.2
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed