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Red386
930160.2
4021118.9
1775137.8
Blue295
4655171.6
3206135.1
2506112.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3113030100200400500600386295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
160.21.6
147.5149.1
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
blue by 11.4
171.61.4
156.0157.4
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
1775
#27
137.80.3
133.2132.8
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.1
red by 2.7
3206
#40
135.10.7
138.8138.2
Auto17.4
Teleop104.4
End12.5
Third
4021
#25
118.91.2
115.3116.5
Auto18.4
Teleop82.1
End13.2
red by 6.5
2506
#41
112.40.5
112.5112.0
Auto16.1
Teleop83.7
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed