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Red220
2830146.7
2143141.9
6732106.8
Blue292
2977163.3
4624133.2
2826161.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373890100200300500220292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#29
146.70.9
138.0139.0
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
blue by 16.6
2977
#20
163.30.6
164.1164.8
Auto18.9
Teleop120.7
End19.9
Second
141.97.4
127.0134.4
Auto19.0
Teleop103.4
End19.5
blue by 19.6
2826
#14
161.50.7
158.0158.7
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
Third
6732
#51
106.81.4
108.0109.4
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
blue by 26.4
4624
#39
133.21.0
138.1137.1
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed