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Red426
6424170.5
930160.2
6613129.7
Blue137
4021118.9
2143141.9
5019102.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892330100200300500600426137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#28
170.51.1
164.9166.0
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
red by 28.6
141.94.4
134.4138.8
Auto19.0
Teleop103.4
End19.5
Second
930
#4
160.20.9
151.4152.3
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
red by 41.2
4021
#25
118.91.0
118.3119.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.1
End13.2
Third
6613
#18
129.70.1
127.9128.0
Auto17.0
Teleop100.1
End10.2
red by 26.9
5019
#50
102.81.8
109.1107.2
Auto15.2
Teleop75.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed