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Red451
167174.8
6574130.6
2826161.5
Blue303
6630146.9
1091132.2
5914131.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162410100200300500600700800451303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#3
174.82.3
164.8167.1
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
red by 27.8
6630
#16
146.91.9
138.5140.3
Auto19.6
Teleop107.3
End24.0
Second
2826
#14
161.50.1
158.7158.8
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 29.3
1091
#46
132.22.7
137.1134.4
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
Third
6574
#30
130.61.2
124.5125.7
Auto17.2
Teleop98.4
End16.6
blue by 0.8
5914
#17
131.42.0
118.3120.3
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed