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Red427
1986194.7
4762115.5
3206135.1
Blue256
6217141.9
4247121.3
2530106.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390230100300500600700427256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.73.1
179.5182.6
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
red by 52.8
6217
#26
141.90.4
141.2140.8
Auto17.4
Teleop110.2
End17.7
Second
3206
#40
135.11.2
137.6136.4
Auto17.4
Teleop104.4
End12.5
red by 13.8
4247
#38
121.30.9
124.6123.7
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End4.1
Third
4762
#47
115.50.3
115.0114.7
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.6
red by 8.6
2530
#33
106.80.2
105.2105.4
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
41%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed