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Red217
5003121.0
2830146.7
2077118.4
Blue442
3928166.6
167174.8
5903146.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2264100100300500600217442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#29
146.71.7
132.7134.4
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
blue by 28.0
167
#3
174.83.5
148.6152.2
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
Second
5003
#44
121.016.5
70.086.5
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
blue by 45.6
3928
#35
166.61.2
162.4163.6
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
Third
2077
#42
118.42.2
129.0126.7
Auto17.2
Teleop82.9
End14.9
blue by 28.1
5903
#24
146.60.7
140.8141.5
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed