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Red297
2826161.5
2062133.0
4655171.6
Blue228
5464145.5
4624133.2
3381127.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339292150200250400450297228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.60.1
155.6155.5
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
red by 26.1
5464
#22
145.52.8
136.3139.1
Auto14.2
Teleop103.4
End29.7
Second
2826
#14
161.50.1
159.9159.8
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 28.3
4624
#39
133.20.8
138.7139.4
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
Third
2062
#23
133.01.0
120.4121.4
Auto18.8
Teleop94.5
End22.8
red by 5.4
3381
#36
127.60.4
128.1127.7
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed