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Red378
1091132.2
6574130.6
2830146.7
Blue228
1775137.8
4762115.5
2062133.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253130200400600800378228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#29
146.71.0
141.0142.0
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
red by 8.9
1775
#27
137.82.2
134.5136.7
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.1
Second
1091
#46
132.21.5
134.4132.9
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
blue by 0.8
2062
#23
133.00.4
132.2132.6
Auto18.8
Teleop94.5
End22.8
Third
6574
#30
130.61.4
125.7127.2
Auto17.2
Teleop98.4
End16.6
red by 15.2
4762
#47
115.51.3
114.7116.0
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed