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Red269
5003121.0
6424170.5
5019102.8
Blue452
2194169.5
5914131.4
6217141.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873620100200400500600269452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#28
170.51.4
166.0167.4
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
red by 1.1
169.50.9
161.4162.3
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
Second
5003
#44
121.00.0
121.1121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
blue by 20.9
6217
#26
141.90.3
140.8140.5
Auto17.4
Teleop110.2
End17.7
Third
5019
#50
102.82.8
107.2104.5
Auto15.2
Teleop75.0
End12.5
blue by 28.7
5914
#17
131.42.2
120.3122.5
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned