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Red395
6237144.5
3381127.6
5586102.2
Blue189
6732106.8
2077118.4
6166108.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3082510100200400500395189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.51.1
133.9135.0
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
red by 26.1
2077
#42
118.41.0
121.3120.3
Auto17.2
Teleop82.9
End14.9
Second
3381
#36
127.60.7
126.5125.7
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
red by 19.5
6166
#53
108.00.2
112.2112.0
Auto17.0
Teleop85.3
End3.9
Third
5586
#45
102.21.5
104.2102.7
Auto16.6
Teleop80.1
End5.0
blue by 4.6
6732
#51
106.81.4
109.8108.4
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed