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Qual 712018 Seven Rivers Regional
Red431
4531154.1
4655171.6
4021118.9
Blue294
5148133.9
6913107.6
1756187.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326325300320340360380420431294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#8
171.62.0
160.4→162.4
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
blue by 16.3
1756
#13
187.91.2
184.5→185.7
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
Second
4531
#2
154.11.6
143.0→144.6
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
red by 20.2
5148
#31
133.90.7
131.7→132.5
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
Third
4021
#25
118.90.2
119.5→119.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.1
End13.2
red by 11.3
6913
#34
107.61.4
109.5→108.2
Auto13.7
Teleop83.1
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed