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Red285
6217141.9
1736178.7
5003121.0
Blue432
2169137.9
930160.2
3381127.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183320100200400500600700800285432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#11
178.71.2
175.4176.6
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
red by 18.5
930
#4
160.21.2
153.4154.6
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
Second
6217
#26
141.90.9
140.5141.4
Auto17.4
Teleop110.2
End17.7
red by 4.0
2169
#37
137.90.6
136.1135.5
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7
Third
5003
#44
121.00.2
121.0121.3
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
blue by 6.6
3381
#36
127.60.5
125.7126.2
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed