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Red300
5148133.9
171101.8
7021176.5
Blue406
2062133.0
2194169.5
6732106.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233120200400600800300406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.51.7
169.6171.3
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
red by 7.0
169.51.8
162.3164.1
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
Second
5148
#31
133.90.5
132.5132.9
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
red by 0.8
2062
#23
133.00.2
132.6132.5
Auto18.8
Teleop94.5
End22.8
Third
171
#49
101.81.3
104.1102.8
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
blue by 5.0
6732
#51
106.81.7
108.4106.7
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed