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Red361
1306156.1
4011149.6
6424170.5
Blue414
5903146.6
4531154.1
930160.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355352250300400450500361414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#28
170.51.2
168.6169.7
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
red by 10.4
930
#4
160.22.0
154.6156.6
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
Second
1306
#12
156.10.8
154.9155.7
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
red by 2.0
154.12.2
146.6148.8
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
Third
4011
#32
149.60.4
149.3149.6
Auto17.4
Teleop108.8
End23.6
red by 3.1
5903
#24
146.60.2
144.9145.1
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsEarned