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Red305
5148133.9
6237144.5
4624133.2
Blue254
3100154.5
2169137.9
2530106.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310315150200250350400450500305254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.51.9
137.0138.8
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
blue by 10.0
3100
#10
154.51.2
152.7153.9
Auto20.9
Teleop116.4
End20.0
Second
5148
#31
133.90.4
132.9133.3
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
blue by 4.0
2169
#37
137.90.6
135.5136.1
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7
Third
4624
#39
133.20.5
133.7133.2
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
red by 26.4
2530
#33
106.80.5
106.3106.8
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed