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Red393
5003121.0
6732106.8
7021176.5
Blue232
4247121.3
1091132.2
2506112.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352254100200300400500600393232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.51.3
171.3172.7
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
red by 44.2
1091
#46
132.20.0
132.2132.2
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
Second
5003
#44
121.00.3
121.3121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
blue by 0.3
4247
#38
121.31.1
122.4121.3
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End4.1
Third
6732
#51
106.80.2
106.7106.8
Auto17.1
Teleop77.6
End13.6
blue by 5.6
2506
#41
112.40.3
112.1112.4
Auto16.1
Teleop83.7
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed