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Red451
2481212.9
1259188.9
6574116.4
Blue172
2194157.9
3197167.0
4786151.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162860100200500600700451172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212.90.6
211.7212.3
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
red by 45.9
167.00.7
165.7166.5
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Second
188.90.5
187.8188.3
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
red by 30.9
2194
#21
157.90.6
157.1157.7
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Third
6574
#25
116.40.8
114.9115.7
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
blue by 35.3
4786
#15
151.80.3
151.3151.6
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2