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Red425
2481212.9
1259188.9
6574116.4
Blue243
2194157.9
3197167.0
4786151.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212760100200500600700425243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
212.90.6
212.3212.9
Auto24.2
Teleop168.8
End20.7
red by 45.9
167.00.5
166.5167.0
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Second
188.90.5
188.3188.9
Auto22.0
Teleop138.4
End29.2
red by 30.9
2194
#21
157.90.3
157.7157.9
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Third
6574
#25
116.40.8
115.7116.4
Auto18.1
Teleop88.0
End12.4
blue by 35.3
4786
#15
151.80.1
151.6151.8
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2