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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Wisconsin Regional
Red98
323145.8
3130166.4
7103135.5
Blue398
2194157.9
3197167.0
4786151.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33235710020030040050060070098398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#2
166.40.6
165.8→166.4
Auto21.0
Teleop124.8
End21.0
blue by 0.6
3197
#8
167.00.7
163.5→164.3
Auto22.8
Teleop120.0
End25.7
Second
323
#9
145.80.3
145.5→145.8
Auto19.6
Teleop111.5
End14.1
blue by 12.2
2194
#21
157.90.4
155.7→156.1
Auto24.0
Teleop117.8
End13.8
Third
7103
#34
135.51.0
134.4→135.5
Auto18.5
Teleop104.6
End14.2
blue by 16.3
4786
#15
151.80.2
150.7→150.9
Auto19.6
Teleop114.1
End17.2