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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Wisconsin Regional
Red380
63166.4
2202170.2
3418136.4
Blue248
279140.1
4296139.9
93166.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380338100200300500600700800380248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#3
170.20.5
168.3→168.8
Auto18.9
Teleop122.9
End32.9
red by 3.8
93
#16
166.40.3
165.9→166.2
Auto19.6
Teleop124.4
End26.6
Second
63
#10
166.40.4
164.7→165.2
Auto18.2
Teleop121.0
End30.0
red by 26.3
279
#14
140.10.2
139.8→140.0
Auto18.6
Teleop106.5
End13.0
Third
3418
#24
136.40.2
135.6→135.8
Auto18.7
Teleop102.5
End14.5
blue by 3.4
4296
#7
139.90.7
138.6→139.3
Auto18.8
Teleop101.8
End22.1